Match Info

Basket League - Round 13

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Dimitris Tofalos Arena (Patras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Promitheas Patras		AEK Athens

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.67	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.48	2.72	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.94)	2.59 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Promitheas Patras
63.8%

AEK Athens
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Promitheas Patras's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Promitheas Patras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Promitheas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). AEK will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Promitheas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.25, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 - AEK (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Promitheas (votes: 1 - 50%). AEK (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Coleman K.	24. Bartley F.
32. Gray R.	0. Gray R.
2. Hammonds L.	1. Skordilis G.
5. Plotas N.	25. Arms A.
10. McCullum K.	7. Flionis D. (C)
Substitutes
7. Bazinas N. (C)	11. Arsenopoulos N.
0. Harris C.	33. Charalampopoulos V.
8. Kapetakis E.	22. Ioannou V.
29. Karagiannidis A.	4. Katsivelis D.
12. Lagios A.	9. Lekavicius L.
55. Macura J. P.	15. Pecarski M.
77. Stavrakopoulos S.
Coaches
. Segura C.	. Sakota D.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 1.

Promitheas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AEK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Promitheas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1618:1645. (average 80.9:82.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Promitheas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 735:698. (average 81.7:77.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	AEK Athens	2	1	1	149:158	3
10	Promitheas	2	0	2	147:178	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
28.12.25	Peristeri BC - Promitheas Patras	80:92 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Promitheas Patras - Rytas	111:95 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
13.12.25	Panionios - Promitheas Patras	95:101 ✺
06.12.25	Promitheas Patras - Mykonos	103:83 ✺
22.11.25	Aris - Promitheas Patras	96:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL
- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
27.12.25	AEK Athens - Aris	82:76 ✺
20.12.25	Mykonos - AEK Athens	76:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Szolnoki Olaj - AEK Athens	80:69 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
13.12.25	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	63:101 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	AEK Athens - Astrum Levice	99:88 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super Cup Basketball
26.09.25	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	70:84
Greek Basket League A1
19.05.25	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	91:67
Champions League Basketball
26.03.25	Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens	56:60
Greek Basket League A1
08.02.25	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	91:71
Champions League Basketball
29.01.25	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	97:76
Greek Basket League A1
16.11.24	Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens	84:76
Champions League Basketball
20.03.24	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	67:79

Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide