Match Info

Basket League - Round 14

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Aris		Iraklis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.22	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.4	3.07	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	3.15 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aris
70.2%

Iraklis
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aris's performance.

Iraklis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iraklis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Aris - Iraklis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Iraklis will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iraklis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7, OT - Iraklis (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iraklis (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Andusic D.	0. Funderburk D.
10. Forester J.	10. Moraitis D. (C)
3. Jones B.	16. Syllas C.
0. Mitrou-Long E.	11. Ware L.
5. Noua A.	3. Wright-Foreman J.
Substitutes
13. Bochoridis E. (C)	14. Christidis V.
1. Chatzilamprou C.	19. Edler-Davis J.
12. Gkiouzelis G.	4. Foster K.
25. Harrell R.	72. Giannikos M.
98. Kulboka A.	12. Kabouridis K.
11. Poulianitis S.	95. Komnianidis A.
9. Tsairelis M.	5. Smith C.
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Lukic Z.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 4.

Recent form of Aris has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iraklis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iraklis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aris is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 606:587. (average 75.8:73.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 296:280. (average 74:70).

Outrights of Greek Basket League A1 for now

Aris: 2.43% Iraklis: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Aris	2	1	1	156:132	3
12	Iraklis	2	0	2	157:169	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Eurocup
06.01.26	Basquet Manresa - Aris	113:99 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.01.26	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:95 ✺
Eurocup
30.12.25	Aris - Cedevita Olimpija	60:89 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
27.12.25	AEK Athens - Aris	82:76 ✺
20.12.25	Aris - Peristeri BC	81:76 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Iraklis Thessaloniki BC
ENBL
07.01.26	Iraklis - Dziki Warszawa	87:75 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
03.01.26	Iraklis - Peristeri BC	73:59 ✺
27.12.25	Iraklis - Panionios	80:66 ✺
20.12.25	Panathinaikos - Iraklis	97:82 ✺
ENBL
17.12.25	Dubrava - Iraklis	72:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
13.12.25	Iraklis - Aris	80:82
02.04.22	Iraklis - Aris	91:86
14.11.21	Aris - Iraklis	83:78 OT (73:73)
10.03.21	Iraklis - Aris	54:76
10.11.20	Aris - Iraklis	81:75
11.01.20	Aris - Iraklis	69:63
05.10.19	Iraklis - Aris	82:66

Aris - Iraklis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide