Match Info

Eurocup - Round 17

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Juras M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Aris		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.5
	1.26	3.68
	1.3	3.26	Watch
	1.29	3.3
	1.27	3.41	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)	3.4 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
72.6%

Neptūnas
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Aris - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Antetokounmpo K.	21. Berucka A.
25. Harrell R.	6. Lomazs R.
3. Jones B.	13. Majauskas A.
0. Mitrou-Long E.	1. Tarolis D.
5. Noua A.	11. Velicka A.
Substitutes
33. Andusic D.	0. Cleary H.
13. Bochoridis E.	8. Girdziunas M.
10. Forester J.	2. Kneizys R.
98. Kulboka A.	10. Kozys V.
2. Lefas P.	25. Silins K.
11. Poulianitis S.	24. Waterman Z.
9. Tsairelis M.
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Neptūnas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neptūnas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aris is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 245:217. (average 81.7:72.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:58.

Outrights of Eurocup for now

Aris: 12.49% Neptunas: 0.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
01.02.26	Aris - Panathinaikos	102:95 OT ✺
Eurocup
28.01.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Aris	81:79 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
24.01.26	Promitheas Patras - Aris	97:103 ✺
Eurocup
20.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Aris	107:113 OT ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
17.01.26	Aris - Peristeri BC	93:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWW
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
31.01.26	Neptūnas - Rytas	95:87 ✺
Eurocup
28.01.26	Neptūnas - Hapoel Jerusalem	98:92 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
24.01.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	97:87 ✺
Eurocup
21.01.26	Basquet Manresa - Neptūnas	97:96 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
17.01.26	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	87:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
18.11.25	Neptūnas - Aris	87:93
03.02.16	Neptūnas - Aris	72:68
06.01.16	Aris - Neptūnas	84:58

Aris - Neptūnas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide