Match Info

Basket League - Round 5

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Aris		PAOK

	1	2
			Watch
	1.39	2.9
	1.46	2.52	Watch
	1.37	2.96	Watch
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.46)	2.73 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
65.8%

PAOK
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	0%	93.1%

Aris - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). PAOK will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 83.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5, OT - PAOK (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2Q - PAOK (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1Q - PAOK (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1Q - PAOK (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - PAOK (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 3Q - PAOK (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 2 - 7.7%). PAOK (votes: 24 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Harrell R.	18. Persidis N.
98. Kulboka A.	2. Melvin C.
23. Enoch S.	26. Moore B.
3. Jones B.	33. Dimsa T.
0. Mitrou-Long E.	22. Brown S.
Substitutes
13. Bochoridis E. (C)	25. Fillios G.
7. Forbes B.	20. Iatridis K.
10. Forester J.	16. Jackson K.
12. Gkiouzelis G.	17. Jones M.
17. Kazamias V.	6. Koniaris A.
2. Lefas P.	10. Slaftsakis D.
11. Poulianitis S.	13. Zaras T. (C)
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Zdovc J.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 3.

Aris is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aris has had a series of away games.

Aris might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1453:1530. (average 72.7:76.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 737:706. (average 73.7:70.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Eurocup
28.10.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Aris	103:76 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.10.25	Panionios - Aris	73:90 ✺
Eurocup
21.10.25	Aris - Basquet Manresa	79:86 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	Maroussi Athens - Aris	108:103 OT ✺
Eurocup
14.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Aris	80:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Lowen Braunschweig - PAOK	88:79 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.10.25	PAOK - Peristeri BC	87:73 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
22.10.25	Anwil Włocławek - PAOK	93:94 OT ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	Promitheas Patras - PAOK	73:75 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.10.25	PAOK - Trepça	85:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
01.03.25	PAOK - Aris	75:63
01.12.24	Aris - PAOK	88:82
Greek Cup Basketball
15.02.24	PAOK - Aris	74:76
Greek Basket League A1
11.02.24	Aris - PAOK	77:63
18.11.23	PAOK - Aris	82:76
22.01.23	Aris - PAOK	77:70
15.10.22	PAOK - Aris	88:66

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