Match Info

Eurocup - Round 10

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Gracin F. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Aris		Venezia

	1	2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.42)	2.18 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
57%

Venezia
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aris - Venezia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3, OT - Venezia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5, OT - Aris (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aris will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aris will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Venezia (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Andusic D.	8. Bowman K.
23. Enoch S.	1. Cole R.J.
25. Harrell R.	2. Horton C.
3. Jones B.	22. Parks J.
5. Noua A.	33. Wiltjer K.
Substitutes
13. Bochoridis E.	7. Candi L.
10. Forester J.	5. De Nicolao G.
12. Gkiouzelis G.	4. Lever A.
17. Kazamias V.	11. Nikolic S.
98. Kulboka A.	00. Tessitori A.
0. Mitrou-Long E.	45. Valentine D.
11. Poulianitis S.	10. Wheatle C.
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Spahija N.

Preview

Aris has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Venezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 314:328. (average 78.5:82).

Including home match between the teams, Aris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 74:81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Eurocup
04.12.25	Aris - U BT Cluj-Napoca	88:98 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
22.11.25	Aris - Promitheas Patras	96:80 ✺
Eurocup
18.11.25	Neptūnas - Aris	87:93 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
16.11.25	Panathinaikos - Aris	82:77 ✺
Eurocup
11.11.25	Aris - Bahcesehir Koleji	76:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL
- Umana Venezia
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.12.25	Venezia - Cantù	101:95 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Venezia	98:66 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Venezia	90:98 ✺
Eurocup
19.11.25	Venezia - Basquet Manresa	97:93 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.11.25	Reggiana - Venezia	79:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
30.09.25	Venezia - Aris	81:85
04.12.24	Aris - Venezia	74:81
25.09.24	Venezia - Aris	94:75
Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.16	Venezia - Aris	72:80

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