Match Info

Eurocup - Round 8

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Neptūnas		Aris

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	1.51	2.30	Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
50.4%

Aris
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Neptūnas - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Neptūnas will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Aris will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neptūnas: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Neptūnas (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aris (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Aris (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Neptūnas (votes: 6 - 60%). Aris (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Berucka A.	13. Bochoridis E.
6. Lomazs R.	10. Forester J.
1. Tarolis D.	3. Jones B.
11. Velicka A.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
24. Waterman Z.	5. Noua A.
Substitutes
0. Cleary H.	23. Enoch S.
8. Girdziunas M.	12. Gkiouzelis G.
2. Kneizys R.	25. Harrell R.
10. Kozys V.	17. Kazamias V.
77. Lesciauskas K.	98. Kulboka A.
16. Macijauskas M.	2. Lefas P.
13. Majauskas A.	11. Poulianitis S.
Coaches
. Petrauskas G.	. Milicic I.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Aris has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Neptūnas will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 130:152. (average 65:76).

Including home match between the teams, Neptūnas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 72:68.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.11.25	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	90:97 ✺
Eurocup
11.11.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Neptūnas	110:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.11.25	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	85:72 ✺
Eurocup
05.11.25	Neptūnas - Basquet Manresa	100:87 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
02.11.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	89:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
16.11.25	Panathinaikos - Aris	82:77 ✺
Eurocup
11.11.25	Aris - Bahcesehir Koleji	76:86 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
08.11.25	Aris - Mykonos	78:61 ✺
Eurocup
05.11.25	Aris - Śląsk Wrocław	85:78 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.11.25	Aris - PAOK	73:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
03.02.16	Neptūnas - Aris	72:68
06.01.16	Aris - Neptūnas	84:58

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