Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		Troy Trojans

	1	2
	1.3	3.65
	1.28	3.75
	1.29	3.5
	1.31	3.65
	1.3	3.49	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.65
	1.29	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	3.59 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
73.5%

Troy Trojans
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 0)
03:41, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
07:58, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
14', Wallace Z. (Touchdown),
14', van Andel C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 3)
06:40, Renfroe S. (Field Goal),
10:21, Wallace Z. (Touchdown),
10:21, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
14:58, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 21)
05:16, Taylor D. (Touchdown),
05:16, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
09:00, Dalton B. (Touchdown),
09:00, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
11:26, Higgins P. (Touchdown),
11:26, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
14:11, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (8 - 7)
13:15, Green G. (Touchdown),
13:15, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
14:27, Wallace Z. (Touchdown),
14:27, Rucker C. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arkansas State won 1.

Recent matches Arkansas State is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Troy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Troy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arkansas State have a series of guest games.

In this match Arkansas State is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Arkansas State won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 224:269 (average 24.9:29.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Arkansas State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 95:152 (average 19:30.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves football
NCAA College Football
19.10.24	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Arkansas State Red Wolves	28:44 ✺
12.10.24	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	41:9 ✺
05.10.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars	18:16 ✺
21.09.24	Iowa State Cyclones - Arkansas State Red Wolves	52:7 ✺
14.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - Arkansas State Red Wolves	28:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- Troy Trojans football
NCAA College Football
15.10.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	25:9 ✺
03.10.24	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	17:38 ✺
28.09.24	Troy Trojans - Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	9:13 ✺
21.09.24	Troy Trojans - Florida A&M Rattlers	34:12 ✺
14.09.24	Iowa Hawkeyes - Troy Trojans	38:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
07.10.23	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	37:3
26.11.22	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	19:48
31.10.20	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	10:38
28.09.19	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	43:50
02.12.17	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	25:32
17.11.16	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	3:35
12.09.13	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	41:34

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide