Match Info

1. Liga - Round 2

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Sisu Arena (Bydgoszcz)


	Astoria Bydgoszcz		Polonia Warszawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.45
	1.40	2.62	Watch
	1.32	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.15)	2.99 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Bydgoszcz
69.3%

Polonia Warszawa
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astoria Bydgoszcz's form might have worsened.

Polonia Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Warszawa's recent form is better than expected.

Astoria Bydgoszcz - Polonia Warszawa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Warszawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5, OT - Polonia Warszawa (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Warszawa (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dzierzak W.	32. Duda M.
11. Kaminski K.	0. Malesa J. (C)
32. Kedel P.	4. Sewiol V.
50. Kemp A.	26. Sulinger J.
14. Kimbrough M.	13. Zalewski J.
Substitutes
95. Andrzejewski J.	12. Borowski S.
33. Gruszecki K.	77. Niemiec A.
91. Jamiolkowski M.	5. Osinski J.
5. Kachelski N.	30. Truszczynski P.
55. Nowakowski M. (C)	93. Witkowski I.
10. Ptak B.
Coaches
. Skiba G.	. Torrescusa-Jimenez D.

Preview

Polonia Warszawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Astoria Bydgoszcz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 315:287. (average 78.8:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 162:142. (average 81:71).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
19.09.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	66:83 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.25	Toruń - Astoria Bydgoszcz	92:71 ✺
31.08.25	Czarni Słupsk - Astoria Bydgoszcz	74:66 ✺
30.08.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	62:80 ✺
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
24.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	89:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
22.09.25	Polonia Warszawa - Politechnika Opolska	84:80 ✺
05.04.25	Polonia Warszawa - MKKS Koszalin	71:80 ✺
29.03.25	Polonia Warszawa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	76:74 ✺
22.03.25	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia Warszawa	77:92 ✺
16.03.25	Polonia Warszawa - HydroTruck Radom	73:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
18.01.25	Polonia Warszawa - Astoria Bydgoszcz	77:81
16.10.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Polonia Warszawa	87:78
25.02.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Polonia Warszawa	75:64
19.11.23	Polonia Warszawa - Astoria Bydgoszcz	68:72

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