Match Info

WNBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gateway Center Arena (College Park, GA)


	Atlanta Dream		Washington Mystics

	1	2
	1.29	3.50	Watch
	1.33	3.40
	1.33	3.40
	1.34	3.55
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.32	3.35
	1.33	3.43
	1.32	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlanta Dream
72.2%

Washington Mystics
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Dream has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Washington Mystics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Dream that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Mystics than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Washington Mystics could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH +7.5 - WAS Mystics (1.95) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:78

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Canada J.	8. Amoore G.
15. Gray A.	0. Austin S.
00. Hillmon-Baker N.	22. Citron S.
10. Howard R.	44. Iriafen K.
5. Reese A.	12. Onyenwere M.
Coaches
. Smesko K.	. Johnson S.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.

Atlanta is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Washington shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Washington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Atlanta for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1623:1624 (averaging 81.2:81.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlanta against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 749:740 goals (averaging 83.2:82.2 per game).

Outrights of WNBA for now

Atlanta Dream W: 43.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Dream
WNBA
23.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	65:83 ✺
21.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	84:95 ✺
19.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Chicago Sky	106:81 ✺
17.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Connecticut Sun	103:59 ✺
30.08.26	Atlanta Dream - Minnesota Lynx	89:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Washington Mystics
WNBA
24.09.26	Washington Mystics - Chicago Sky	101:93 ✺
22.09.26	Washington Mystics - Connecticut Sun	79:69 ✺
20.09.26	Indiana Fever - Washington Mystics	77:93 ✺
17.09.26	Chicago Sky - Washington Mystics	80:110 ✺
28.08.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Washington Mystics	88:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
07.08.26	Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream	79:74
02.07.26	Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream	81:76
06.06.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	109:77
03.05.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	72:83
03.08.25	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	99:83
20.06.25	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	92:91
15.06.25	Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream	56:89

Upcoming Matches