Match Info

NBL

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Eventfinda Stadium (Auckland)


	Auckland Tuatara		Tauranga Whai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.2	3.75	Watch
	1.21	3.78
	1.19	4.13
	1.2	4
	1.17	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.11)	3.91 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland Tuatara
76.4%

Tauranga Whai
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland Tuatara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auckland Tuatara's form might have worsened.

Tauranga Whai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tauranga Whai's recent form is better than expected.

Auckland Tuatara - Tauranga Whai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Davidson A.	11. Collins D.
3. Dilling J.	8. Marsters X.
5. Johnson C.	6. Murray T.
14. Loe R. (C)	2. Stoddart N.
13. Zach R.	7. Te Rangi R.
Substitutes
26. Dalton M.	66. Bezzant J. (C)
15. Ioane K.	13. Flavell C.
8. Kingston K. A.	29. Hoeata G.
55. Leger J.	12. Kaumoana K.
32. Vodanovich T.	1. Kelly J.
9. Wilkie D.	4. Thompson J.
2. Wylie J.	3. Wade M.

Preview

Auckland Tuatara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Whai has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Whai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Auckland Tuatara has had a series of away games.

In this match, Auckland Tuatara is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Auckland Tuatara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 154:137. (average 77:68.5).

Including home match between the teams, Auckland Tuatara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 78:59.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland Tuatara Basketball
New Zealand NBL
16.05.26	Otago Nuggets - Auckland Tuatara	72:98 ✺
14.05.26	Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara	111:94 ✺
09.05.26	Auckland Tuatara - Nelson Giants	99:97 ✺
02.05.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	91:93 ✺
27.04.26	Wellington Saints - Auckland Tuatara	90:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL
- Tauranga Whai
New Zealand NBL
15.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Manawatu Jets	97:99 ✺
08.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Canterbury Rams	79:99 ✺
01.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Franklin Bulls	88:103 ✺
25.04.26	Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai	106:84 ✺
24.04.26	Otago Nuggets - Tauranga Whai	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
07.06.25	Auckland Tuatara - Tauranga Whai	78:59
25.03.25	Tauranga Whai - Auckland Tuatara	78:76

Auckland Tuatara - Tauranga Whai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide