Match Info

FINLAND: Korisliiga - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: AGCO Power Areena (Nokia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	BC Nokia		Joensuun Kataja

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.66	2.15
	1.75	2.1
	1.71	2.13
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.17
	1.66	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.91)	2.13 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Nokia
56%

Joensuun Kataja
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Nokia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BC Nokia's performance.

Joensuun Kataja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joensuun Kataja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BC Nokia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joensuun Kataja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BC Nokia - Joensuun Kataja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aidoo F.	1. Curry K.
21. Brown C.	2. Darko-Kelly Z.
20. Davis Mcmurrin G.	4. Hirvonen T. (C)
88. Ross I.	20. Jocelyn T.
3. Ross K. (C)	23. Smith N.
Substitutes
8. Ahonen A.	13. Karhu V.
13. Besselink M.	45. Permanto H.
18. Kanervo A.	18. Pontinen A.
33. Murphy T.	8. Purmonen O.
15. Nikula A.
44. Roiko S.
Coaches
. Gibson G.	. Virtanen P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nokia won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Joensuun Kataja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nokia won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1640:1652 (average 82:82.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nokia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 849:762 (average 84.9:76.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Nokia
Finnish Korisliiga
04.12.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - BC Nokia	91:85 ✺
15.11.24	BC Nokia - Kouvot Kouvola	72:80 ✺
12.11.24	KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia	81:77 ✺
05.11.24	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	88:82 OT ✺
01.11.24	Korikobrat - BC Nokia	64:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Joensuun Kataja
Finnish Korisliiga
04.12.24	Joensuun Kataja - Pyrinto Tampere	91:97 ✺
29.11.24	Korihait - Joensuun Kataja	95:72 ✺
16.11.24	Bisons Loimaa - Joensuun Kataja	78:85 ✺
09.11.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - Joensuun Kataja	78:101 ✺
06.11.24	Joensuun Kataja - Salon Vilpas	116:114 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
09.10.24	Joensuun Kataja - BC Nokia	92:74
05.05.24	BC Nokia - Joensuun Kataja	75:74
03.05.24	Joensuun Kataja - BC Nokia	104:90
01.05.24	BC Nokia - Joensuun Kataja	90:93
29.04.24	Joensuun Kataja - BC Nokia	80:93
25.04.24	BC Nokia - Joensuun Kataja	85:64
22.04.24	Joensuun Kataja - BC Nokia	99:75

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