Match Info

FINLAND: Korisliiga - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: AGCO Power Areena (Nokia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	BC Nokia		Salon Vilpas

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.83	1.91
	1.86	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.84	1.91
	1.83	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Nokia
50.6%

Salon Vilpas
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Nokia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Salon Vilpas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Vilpas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aidoo F.	6. Adamu A.
21. Brown C.	0. Donaldson D.
33. Murphy T.	22. Innamaa E. (C)
88. Ross I.	10. Nyman V.
3. Ross K. (C)	3. Payne O.
Substitutes
8. Ahonen A.	12. Adler S.
20. Davis G.	5. Poutiainen P.
35. de Santana W.	28. Rantapaju D.
10. Jarvinen O.	11. Ronnholm T.
44. Roiko S.	20. Vaara M.
41. Schnabel H.	2. Yli-Junnila T.
Coaches
. Gibson G.	. Savolainen J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nokia won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Salon Vilpas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nokia won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1656:1765 (average 82.8:88.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nokia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 848:884 (average 84.8:88.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Nokia
Finnish Korisliiga
14.01.25	Kouvot Kouvola - BC Nokia	98:80 ✺
07.01.25	BC Nokia - KTP Kotka Basket	90:76 ✺
03.01.25	Espoon Honka - BC Nokia	92:81 ✺
30.12.24	BC Nokia - Bisons Loimaa	98:64 ✺
28.12.24	Helsinki Seagulls - BC Nokia	107:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Salon Vilpas
Finnish Korisliiga
15.01.25	Salon Vilpas - Pyrinto Tampere	90:86 ✺
08.01.25	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	77:82 ✺
04.01.25	Salon Vilpas - Joensuun Kataja	78:73 ✺
30.12.24	Salon Vilpas - Kouvot Kouvola	79:85 ✺
28.12.24	Bisons Loimaa - Salon Vilpas	87:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
10.12.24	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	92:107
09.03.24	BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas	91:87
08.02.24	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	82:72
02.01.24	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	79:88
13.10.23	BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas	84:90
26.11.22	BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas	103:101 OT (92:92)
01.10.22	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	65:72

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