Match Info

FINLAND: Korisliiga - Losers stage

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tapiolan Liikuntahalli (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoon Honka		BC Nokia

	1	2
	3	1.33
	5.05	1.15	Watch
	3.17	1.34
	4.83	1.15	Watch
	5	1.14
	4.88	1.17
	5.05	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (2.43)	1.2 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Honka
21.4%

BC Nokia
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espoon Honka's form might have worsened.

BC Nokia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BC Nokia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espoon Honka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BC Nokia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Espoon Honka - BC Nokia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalvez D.	8. Ahonen A.
10. Korhonen R.	55. Aidoo F.
11. Kotti T. (C)	21. Brown C.
2. Peltoniemi A.	88. Ross I.
14. Uotila E.	3. Ross K. (C)
Substitutes
17. Rantala O.	13. Besselink M.
8. Rissanen M.	20. Davis G.
25. Tuomi I.	35. de Santana W.
	33. Murphy T.
	44. Roiko S.
	41. Schnabel H.
Coaches
. Heinonen A.	. Gibson G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 1.

Honka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nokia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nokia is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Honka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 528:572 (average 75.4:81.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 223:239 (average 74.3:79.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
14.03.25	Korikobrat - Espoon Honka	79:73 ✺
08.03.25	Kouvot Kouvola - Espoon Honka	94:78 ✺
04.03.25	Espoon Honka - Pyrinto Tampere	79:66 ✺
28.02.25	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	89:94 ✺
26.02.25	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	87:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- BC Nokia
Finnish Korisliiga
15.03.25	BC Nokia - Pyrinto Tampere	85:98 ✺
07.03.25	BC Nokia - Korikobrat	101:69 ✺
04.03.25	KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia	85:86 ✺
01.03.25	Kouvot Kouvola - BC Nokia	94:85 ✺
12.02.25	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	95:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
12.02.25	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	95:84
03.01.25	Espoon Honka - BC Nokia	92:81
05.11.24	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	88:82 OT
18.02.23	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	74:67
27.01.23	Espoon Honka - BC Nokia	63:79
06.12.22	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	76:72
12.10.22	Espoon Honka - BC Nokia	68:79

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