Match Info

TBL - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Kurtdereli Spor Salonu (Balikesir)


	Balıkesir		Kocaeli Kağıtspor

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.73
	1.93	1.76
	2	1.73
	1.98	1.72
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balıkesir
47%

Kocaeli Kağıtspor
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balıkesir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Kocaeli Kağıtspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balıkesir than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaeli Kağıtspor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Balıkesir - Kocaeli Kağıtspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Balıkesir will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kocaeli Kağıtspor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Balıkesir: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1Q - Balıkesir (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Balıkesir will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Balıkesir (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Kocaeli Kağıtspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cleveland F.	21. Gorur M.
4. Durr M.	22. Hunt K.
18. Genc B.	45. Sari S.
0. Karagulle S.	73. Sherrill K.
20. Kaya A.	24. Ulutas M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Altunbas T.	5. Cevik C.
23. Atsuren A.	10. Ermat O.
48. Dogan G.	17. Gizir M.
22. Gok G.	6. Kaspar K.
7. Oktay A.	12. Ozen E.
9. Ozdogan A.	13. Sucu E.
11. Sonkol U. (C)	4. Ural G.
Coaches
. Soguksu S.	. Yolcu M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balıkesir won 3.

Balıkesir is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kocaeli Kağıtspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Balıkesir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kocaeli Kağıtspor has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Balıkesir won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 808:808. (average 80.8:80.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Balıkesir won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 409:387. (average 81.8:77.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
14	Balikesir	5	1	4	361:379	6

Last Results with these Odds

Balıkesir - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.98%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Kocaeli Kağıtspor - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.02%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balıkesir BB Basketball
Turkish TBL
04.01.26	Gaziantep BB BT - Balıkesir	89:75 ✺
27.12.25	Orman Gençlikspor - Balıkesir	84:63 ✺
21.12.25	Balıkesir - Fenerbahçe 2	72:88 ✺
17.12.25	Bordo - Balıkesir	75:58 ✺
11.12.25	Balıkesir - Ankaragücü	68:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kocaeli Kağıtspor
Turkish TBL
04.01.26	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Kipaş İstiklal	80:79 ✺
29.12.25	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - İTÜ	79:89 ✺
21.12.25	Darüşşafaka - Kocaeli Kağıtspor	67:65 ✺
16.12.25	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - TED Ankara Kolejliler	63:84 ✺
13.12.25	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Cayirova	80:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
27.09.25	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Balıkesir	96:81
21.04.24	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Balıkesir	66:69
30.12.23	Balıkesir - Kocaeli Kağıtspor	71:79
04.03.23	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Balıkesir	94:100
29.10.22	Balıkesir - Kocaeli Kağıtspor	77:72
03.04.22	Balıkesir - Kocaeli Kağıtspor	77:80 OT (64:64)
05.12.21	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Balıkesir	71:70

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