Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Ballarat Miners		Melbourne Tigers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	1.96
	1.72	2.04
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballarat Miners
54.3%

Melbourne Tigers
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballarat Miners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Melbourne Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballarat Miners than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ballarat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 863:784. (average 78.5:71.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballarat won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 370:336. (average 74:67.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballarat Miners Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
09.05.26	Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners	78:89 ✺
02.05.26	Kilsyth Cobras - Ballarat Miners	79:87 ✺
25.04.26	Ballarat Miners - Frankston Blues	91:74 ✺
25.04.26	Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder	70:58 ✺
18.04.26	Ballarat Miners - Eltham Wildcats	80:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Melbourne Tigers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
09.05.26	Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues	84:61 ✺
09.05.26	Geelong United - Melbourne Tigers	71:68 ✺
02.05.26	Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders	86:81 ✺
25.04.26	Melbourne Tigers - Kilsyth Cobras	71:66 ✺
25.04.26	Ringwood Hawks - Melbourne Tigers	83:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
11.04.26	Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners	77:90
10.05.25	Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers	49:82
29.06.24	Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers	76:51
18.05.24	Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners	92:101
03.06.23	Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners	68:75
01.04.23	Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers	79:54
06.08.22	Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners	59:85

Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide