Match Info

ACB - Round 11

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Palau Blaugrana (Barcelona)

Referee: Chueca A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Poland	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Barcelona		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	1.56	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.52	2.48
	1.51	2.44	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.51	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.41)	2.48 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
61.9%

Joventut Badalona
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona's form might have worsened.

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joventut Badalona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Barcelona - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Joventut will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Cale M.	1. Kraag Y.
5. Norris M.	23. Ruzic M.
14. Hernangomez W.	44. Tomic A.
0. Punter K.	24. Hunt C.
13. Satoransky T.	12. Hakanson L.
Substitutes
8. Brizuela D.	21. Allen M.
19. Fall Y.	35. Birgander S.
41. Keita S.	17. Dekker S.
20. Laprovittola N.	0. Drell H.
2. Marcos J.	88. Hanga A.
44. Parra J.	9. Rubio R.
6. Vesely J.	16. Vives G.
Coaches
. Pascual X.	. Miret D.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

Barcelona has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Joventut is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Joventut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barcelona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1690:1536. (average 84.5:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 972:857. (average 88.4:77.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.45%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Joventut Badalona - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
16.12.25	Paris - Barcelona	69:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Basquet Manresa - Barcelona	62:89 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	98:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Barcelona - BC Andorra	102:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Joventut Badalona
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Cholet Basket - Joventut Badalona	87:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona	80:77 ✺
07.12.25	Joventut Badalona - Basquet Manresa	83:79 ✺
23.11.25	BC Andorra - Joventut Badalona	76:83 ✺
Champions League Basketball
19.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Hapoel Holon	97:95 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.25	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	80:81
Spanish ACB League
30.03.25	Joventut Badalona - Barcelona	86:93
05.01.25	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	90:91 OT
24.03.24	Joventut Badalona - Barcelona	75:93
24.09.23	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	95:79
25.03.23	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	87:71
20.11.22	Joventut Badalona - Barcelona	82:79

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