Match Info

ACB - Round 10

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Spain	DAZN Espana


	UCAM Murcia		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.3
	1.59	2.4
	1.58	2.30	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.42	Watch
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	2.37 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
60.1%

Joventut Badalona
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: UCAM Murcia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UCAM Murcia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Cate E.	21. Allen M.
5. DeJulius D.	24. Hunt C.
31. Ennis D.	1. Kraag Y.
99. Nakic T.	9. Rubio R.
2. Raieste S.	44. Tomic A.
Substitutes
21. Diagne M.	17. Dekker S.
13. Falk W.	0. Drell H.
1. Forrest M.	12. Hakanson L.
24. Hicks Z.	88. Hanga A.
16. Lopez R.	23. Ruzic M.
12. Radebaugh J.	16. Vives G.
8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Alonso S.	. Miret D.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Murcia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1642:1702. (average 82.1:85.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 743:719. (average 82.6:79.9).

Last Results with these Odds

UCAM Murcia - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.55%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Falco Szombathely	97:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
06.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	88:110 ✺
22.11.25	Força Lleida CE - UCAM Murcia	71:107 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Start Lublin	80:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	83:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Joventut Badalona - Basquet Manresa	83:79 ✺
23.11.25	BC Andorra - Joventut Badalona	76:83 ✺
Champions League Basketball
19.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Hapoel Holon	97:95 OT ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Joventut Badalona	78:92 ✺
09.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid	75:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
19.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona	100:83
28.09.24	Joventut Badalona - UCAM Murcia	91:76
06.04.24	Joventut Badalona - UCAM Murcia	75:82
25.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona	105:73
05.03.23	Joventut Badalona - UCAM Murcia	94:68
05.11.22	UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona	88:76
08.05.22	UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona	71:83

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