Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Losers stage - Round 2

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Vítor Domingos (Lavradio)


	Barreirense		Benfica B

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.35	2.8
	1.34	2.75
			Watch
	1.34	2.82
	1.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.72)	2.7 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
66.3%

Benfica B
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barreirense's performance.

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barreirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barreirense - Benfica B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caetano F.	14. Andrade J.
11. Casey K.	39. Mendes J.
7. Costa P.	23. Panzo J.
73. Downs M.	9. Silva H. (C)
5. Oliveira R.	16. Sousa S.
Substitutes
2. Fonseca K.	32. Fortunato D.
28. Margarido D.	15. Goncalves M.
3. Oliveira W.	22. Pinguinha A.
15. Raimundo T. (C)	21. Simoes F.
1. Rosa P.	2. Viegas G.
8. Santos P.
9. Silva T.
Coaches
. Caetano C.	. Matos H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 3.

Barreirense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Benfica B have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 607:556 (average 67.4:61.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Barreirense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 335:286 (average 83.8:71.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreirense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.01.25	Sampaense - Barreirense	86:73 ✺
12.01.25	CB Queluz - Barreirense	98:74 ✺
05.01.25	Barreirense - Lusitânia	65:74 ✺
28.12.24	Portimonense - Barreirense	86:73 ✺
21.12.24	Barreirense - Santo André	85:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Benfica Lisboa B Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.01.25	Benfica B - Santo André	81:73 ✺
11.01.25	Portimonense - Benfica B	83:64 ✺
05.01.25	Benfica B - Santo André	62:81 ✺
29.12.24	Benfica B - Imortal B	71:63 ✺
21.12.24	Benfica B - Madeira	67:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
15.12.24	Benfica B - Barreirense	63:61
19.10.24	Barreirense - Benfica B	70:68 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.24	Benfica B - Barreirense	Canceled
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
04.02.24	Barreirense - Benfica B	85:82 OT
03.12.23	Benfica B - Barreirense	66:68
08.01.23	Benfica B - Barreirense	70:85
29.10.22	Barreirense - Benfica B	88:79

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