Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho (Barreiro)


	Barreirense		Maia

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	2.08	1.64	Watch
	2.11	1.61
			Watch
	2.12	1.67
	2.08	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.71)	1.67 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
44.8%

Maia
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barreirense's form might have worsened.

Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barreirense - Maia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caetano F.	22. Boyd R.
7. Costa P.	3. Bumbalough L.
6. Fonseca K.	2. Magalhaes M.
32. Maxwell E.	17. Santana M.
5. Oliveira R.	9. Silva T.
Substitutes
28. Cabrita T.	12. Carrera Y.
2. Do O J.	4. Gomes D.
14. Margarido D.	5. Guerreiro J. (C)
15. Raimundo T. (C)	26. Lauback K.
1. Rosa P.	44. Machado P.
8. Santos P.	30. Oliveira S.
9. Silva T.	0. Silva F.
Coaches
. Caetano C.	. Gomes R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barreirense won 2.

In recent matches, Barreirense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barreirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maia might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Maia will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barreirense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 608:614. (average 86.9:87.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Barreirense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 287:267. (average 95.7:89).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreirense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
27.04.25	Barreirense - Clube Galitos	76:70 ✺
26.04.25	Santo André - Barreirense	58:51 ✺
05.04.25	Lusitânia - Barreirense	94:82 ✺
29.03.25	Barreirense - Casino Ginásio	83:78 ✺
23.03.25	Benfica B - Barreirense	68:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.04.25	Maia - Casino Ginásio	88:74 ✺
19.04.25	Santo André - Maia	73:78 ✺
16.04.25	Maia - Santo André	64:60 ✺
05.04.25	Maia - Benfica B	71:65 ✺
29.03.25	Clube Galitos - Maia	71:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.03.25	Maia - Barreirense	68:65
01.04.23	Maia - Barreirense	107:109 OT
04.03.23	Barreirense - Maia	78:91
Portuguese LPB
19.03.21	Barreirense - Maia	102:97 OT (85:85)
13.12.20	Maia - Barreirense	79:77 OT (68:68)
29.12.19	Barreirense - Maia	107:79
05.10.19	Maia - Barreirense	93:70

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