Match Info

PORTUGAL: PROLIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Barreirense		Galitos Barreiro

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.92	1.9
	1.93	1.89
	1.9	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.57)	1.89 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
50.3%

Galitos Barreiro
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barreirense's form might have worsened.

Galitos Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galitos Barreiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galitos Barreiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barreirense - Galitos Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Barreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 871-908.

Including matches at home between the teams Barreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 390-437.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreirense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
09.12.23	Ginásio Olhanense - Barreirense	73:82 ✺
03.12.23	Benfica B - Barreirense	66:68 ✺
25.11.23	Barreirense - Madeira	86:81 ✺
18.11.23	Barreirense - Imortal B	80:79 ✺
04.11.23	Santo André - Barreirense	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Galitos Barreiro
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
02.12.23	Galitos Barreiro - Santo André	83:82 ✺
25.11.23	CAQ Queluz - Galitos Barreiro	83:80 ✺
18.11.23	Madeira - Galitos Barreiro	79:92 ✺
04.11.23	Galitos Barreiro - Ginásio Olhanense	87:78 ✺
29.10.23	Benfica B - Galitos Barreiro	71:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.10.23	Galitos Barreiro - Barreirense	61:86
15.01.23	Barreirense - Galitos Barreiro	92:99
08.01.22	Galitos Barreiro - Barreirense	83:88
17.11.21	Barreirense - Galitos Barreiro	90:83
Portuguese LPB
13.03.21	Galitos Barreiro - Barreirense	71:69
11.12.20	Barreirense - Galitos Barreiro	72:85
14.12.19	Galitos Barreiro - Barreirense	86:83

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