Match Info

EUROPE: EUROCUP - ROUND 9

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Basket Trento		Aris

	1	2
	1.25	4.2	Watch
	1.3	3.3
	1.3	3.6	Watch
	1.29	3.76
	1.29	3.76
	1.53	2.38
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.27	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.7)	3.52 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Trento
72.7%

Aris
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basket Trento's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Trento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Basket Trento - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Trento will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Aris will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trento: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Preview

Trento is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aris has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trento is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Trento
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.11.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	83:80 OT ✺
Eurocup
21.11.23	KK Budućnost - Basket Trento	98:96 OT ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.11.23	Basket Trento - Brindisi	81:71 ✺
Eurocup
15.11.23	Basket Trento - U BT Cluj-Napoca	60:98 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.11.23	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Trento	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
25.11.23	Aris - Promitheas Patras	73:77 ✺
Eurocup
22.11.23	Aris - Ratiopharm Ulm	88:99 OT ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.11.23	PAOK - Aris	82:76 ✺
Eurocup
14.11.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Aris	72:65 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
12.11.23	Aris - Panathinaikos	65:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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