Match Info

Lega A - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: BLM Group Arena (Trento)

Referee: Cassina F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Italy	LBA TV
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Basket Trento		Venezia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.71
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.75
	2.08	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.8)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Trento
45.3%

Venezia
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basket Trento's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Trento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Basket Trento - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trento will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Venezia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 170.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Aldridge P.	8. Bowman K.
26. Bayehe J.	1. Cole R.J.
23. Jakimovski A.	2. Horton C.
3. Jones D.	22. Parks J.
1. Steward D.	33. Wiltjer K.
Substitutes
11. Airhienbuwa T.	7. Candi L.
99. Battle K.	5. De Nicolao G.
7. Cheickh Niang P.	4. Lever A.
29. Fall O.	11. Nikolic S.
10. Forray A.	00. Tessitori A.
68. Hassan P.	45. Valentine D.
8. Jogela M.	10. Wheatle C.
Coaches
. Cancellieri M.	. Spahija N.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trento won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1486:1498. (average 74.3:74.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 651:598. (average 81.4:74.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Trento
Eurocup
09.12.25	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Basket Trento	73:91 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Basket Trento	94:90 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.25	Ratiopharm Ulm - Basket Trento	87:100 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.11.25	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	81:68 ✺
Eurocup
18.11.25	Basket Trento - Niners Chemnitz	94:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWL
- Umana Venezia
Eurocup
10.12.25	Aris - Venezia	90:86 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.12.25	Venezia - Cantù	101:95 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Venezia	98:66 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Venezia	90:98 ✺
Eurocup
19.11.25	Venezia - Basquet Manresa	97:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
26.01.25	Venezia - Basket Trento	70:74
05.10.24	Basket Trento - Venezia	82:70
27.01.24	Venezia - Basket Trento	93:68
03.12.23	Basket Trento - Venezia	106:79
30.04.23	Basket Trento - Venezia	86:84
26.11.22	Venezia - Basket Trento	72:73
13.03.22	Venezia - Basket Trento	72:65

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