Match Info

1. Liga - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Cityzen hall (Poznań)


	Basket Poznań		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	2
	1.92	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.76
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.95	1.73
	1.99	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.89)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Poznań
47%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Basket Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poznań (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Krajewski A.	12. Dzierzak P. (C)
7. Nowicki J.	10. Feagin K.
9. Rosinski K.	29. Leonczyk P.
6. Samsonowicz M. (C)	0. Malgorzaciak F.
15. Washington J.	6. Siembiga W.
Substitutes
13. Dydak T.	13. Dlugosz S.
8. Kluj J.	34. Janczak S.
21. Krajewski I.	14. Kurpisz M.
31. Makowski K.	7. Lewis J.
23. Monko B.	9. Nelson R.
Coaches
. Valeiko E.	. Frank R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 2.

In recent matches, Poznań has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kotwica Kołobrzeg has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1050:1000. (average 80.8:76.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Poznań won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 505:474. (average 84.2:79).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Poznan	3	2	1	297:272	5
11	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	3	1	2	281:282	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Poznań
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
21.02.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Basket Poznań	82:77 ✺
07.02.26	WKK Wrocław - Basket Poznań	82:76 ✺
31.01.26	Basket Poznań - Noteć Inowrocław	81:75 ✺
24.01.26	Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań	75:76 ✺
21.01.26	Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno	83:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW
- SKK Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
21.02.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Żubry Białystok	93:73 ✺
15.02.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	76:66 ✺
07.02.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Politechnika Opolska	79:76 ✺
24.01.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Decka Pelplin	86:72 ✺
21.01.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	97:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
07.11.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Basket Poznań	82:64
10.01.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Basket Poznań	64:55
05.10.24	Basket Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	93:80
27.03.24	Basket Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	93:98
26.11.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Basket Poznań	86:105
05.04.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Basket Poznań	86:89
04.01.23	Basket Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	63:67

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