Match Info

ACB - Round 20

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Principe Felipe (Zaragoza)

Referee: Fernandez F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Basket Zaragoza		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	2.35	1.51	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.7
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.25	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.38)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Zaragoza
42.7%

Joventut Badalona
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Basket Zaragoza - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Joventut will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Basket Zaragoza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Richardson J.	1. Kraag Y.
4. Yusta S.	0. Drell H.
00. Robinson D.	44. Tomic A.
7. Gonzalez M.	24. Hunt C.
0. Spissu M.	12. Hakanson L.
Substitutes
14. Dubljevic B.	35. Birgander S.
10. Fernandez J.	88. Hanga A.
21. Koumadje C.	34. Niebla D.
15. Rodriguez J.	9. Rubio R.
20. Stephens D. J.	23. Ruzic M.
23. Traore Y.	16. Vives G.
5. Washington I.
Coaches
. Ramirez J.	. Miret D.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.

Zaragoza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Joventut has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Joventut could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1710:1709. (average 85.5:85.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 813:751. (average 90.3:83.4).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Joventut Badalona: 3.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Basket Zaragoza	3	2	1	255:248	4
16	Joventut Badalona	1	0	1	104:110	0

Last Results with these Odds

Joventut Badalona - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.33%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Zaragoza
FIBA Europe Cup
10.02.26	Basket Zaragoza - Dinamo Sassari	68:69 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.02.26	Basket Zaragoza - Bilbao Basket	82:84 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.02.26	Basket Zaragoza - Petkim Spor	76:71 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Real Madrid - Basket Zaragoza	99:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
28.01.26	Peristeri BC - Basket Zaragoza	86:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Joventut Badalona
Champions League Basketball
10.02.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Joventut Badalona	85:77 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.02.26	Joventut Badalona - Valencia	90:87 ✺
Champions League Basketball
03.02.26	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Joventut Badalona	83:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
31.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Joventut Badalona	80:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Unicaja Malaga	71:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Basket Zaragoza	89:86
24.05.25	Joventut Badalona - Basket Zaragoza	89:79
13.10.24	Basket Zaragoza - Joventut Badalona	96:95 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
07.09.24	Joventut Badalona - Basket Zaragoza	86:76
Spanish ACB League
13.01.24	Joventut Badalona - Basket Zaragoza	95:84
28.10.23	Basket Zaragoza - Joventut Badalona	113:83
06.05.23	Basket Zaragoza - Joventut Badalona	87:77

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