Match Info

Euroleague - Round 12

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Hordov T. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Bayern München

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.78	2.08	Watch
	1.7	2.13
	1.71	2.11	Watch
	1.72	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
55.4%

Bayern München
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Baskonia - Bayern München Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 41.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 164.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern München will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern München will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diakite M.	26. Dinwiddie S.
6. Diallo H.	21. Hollatz J.
0. Howard M.	10. Jessup J.
7. Kurucs R.	11. Lucic V.
2. Simmons K.	7. Voigtmann J.
Substitutes
18. Diop K.	1. Da Silva O.
25. Frisch C.	32. Gabriel W.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	16. Jovic S.
3. Nowell M.	33. McCormack D.
8. Sedekerskis T.	22. Mike I.
10. Spagnolo M.	13. Obst A.
4. Villar R.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Herbert G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 1.

Baskonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayern München has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bayern München may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1148:1100. (average 82:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 582:501. (average 83.1:71.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.51%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	91:83 ✺
Euroleague
13.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Baskonia	89:83 ✺
11.11.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Baskonia	114:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
09.11.25	Força Lleida CE - Baskonia	86:80 ✺
Euroleague
06.11.25	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	87:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Bayern München Basketball
German Cup Basketball
16.11.25	Trier - Bayern München	80:96 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Bayern München	74:72 ✺
12.11.25	Bayern München - Barcelona	74:75 ✺
German BBL
09.11.25	Rasta Vechta - Bayern München	74:77 ✺
Euroleague
06.11.25	Paris - Bayern München	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
20.03.25	Baskonia - Bayern München	112:89
05.12.24	Bayern München - Baskonia	94:80
30.01.24	Bayern München - Baskonia	112:109 OT
17.10.23	Baskonia - Bayern München	68:76
10.01.23	Bayern München - Baskonia	92:79
09.12.22	Baskonia - Bayern München	78:53
21.01.22	Baskonia - Bayern München	77:84

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