Match Info

Euroleague - Round 9

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Boubert M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.18
	1.7	2.25
	1.59	2.33	Watch
	1.68	2.27	Watch
	1.6	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
57.7%

Virtus Bologna
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Baskonia - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baskonia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baskonia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Diallo H.	34. Jallow K.
8. Sedekerskis T.	9. Smailagic A.
18. Diop K.	21. Alston Jr. D.
2. Simmons K.	1. Vildoza L.
4. Villar R.	3. Edwards C.
Substitutes
1. Diakite M.	31. Diarra A.
25. Frisch C.	35. Diouf M.
33. Hrabar V.	23. Hackett D.
7. Kurucs R.	30. Morgan M.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	7. Niang S.
3. Nowell M.	6. Pajola A.
10. Spagnolo M.	11. Taylor B.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Virtus Bologna has had a series of away games.

Baskonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 593:584. (average 84.7:83.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 341:329. (average 85.3:82.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Baskonia - Canarias	89:79 ✺
Euroleague
31.10.25	Baskonia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	86:75 ✺
28.10.25	Baskonia - Dubai	92:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
26.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Baskonia	89:84 ✺
Euroleague
23.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia	90:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.11.25	Varese - Virtus Bologna	77:83 ✺
01.11.25	Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna	83:102 ✺
Euroleague
30.10.25	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	86:70 ✺
28.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	86:65 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Dinamo Sassari	90:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
10.01.25	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	76:74
12.12.24	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	81:82
19.04.24	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	89:77
12.04.24	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	91:95
14.12.23	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	81:91
24.02.23	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	88:83
22.12.22	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	90:79

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