Match Info
Euroleague - Round 12Date: 21 November 2025, FridayLocation: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)Referee: Hordov T. (Cro)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | SKWeek App |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 World | EuroLeague TV |
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Baskonia |
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Bayern München |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Baskonia
55.4% | Bayern München
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-2.6%)Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 41.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 164.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bayern München will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern München will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Diakite M.
| 26.  Dinwiddie S.
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6. Diallo H.
| 21.  Hollatz J.
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0.  Howard M.
| 10. Jessup J.
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7.  Kurucs R.
| 11.  Lucic V.
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2. Simmons K.
| 7. Voigtmann J.
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| Substitutes |
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18.  Diop K.
| 1. Da Silva O.
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25.  Frisch C.
| 32.  Gabriel W.
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9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
| 16. Jovic S.
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3. Nowell M.
| 33. McCormack D.
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8.  Sedekerskis T.
| 22.  Mike I.
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10.  Spagnolo M.
| 13. Obst A.
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4.  Villar R.
| 4. Rathan-Mayes X.
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| Coaches |
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. Galbiati P.
| .  Herbert G.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 1.Baskonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bayern München has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Bayern München may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1148:1100. (average 82:78.6).Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 582:501. (average 83.1:71.6).
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Last Results with these Odds
Baskonia - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.51%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Euroleague | | | 20.03.25 | Baskonia - Bayern München | 112:89 | | 05.12.24 | Bayern München - Baskonia | 94:80 | | 30.01.24 | Bayern München - Baskonia | 112:109 OT | | 17.10.23 | Baskonia - Bayern München | 68:76 | | 10.01.23 | Bayern München - Baskonia | 92:79 | | 09.12.22 | Baskonia - Bayern München | 78:53 | | 21.01.22 | Baskonia - Bayern München | 77:84 |
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