Match Info

Euroleague - Round 5

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Tsaroucha V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Partizan Belgrade

	1	2
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	2.48	1.56
	2.73	1.46
	1.84	1.94	Watch
	2.39	1.62	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.93)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baskonia
41.3%

Partizan Belgrade
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baskonia's form might have worsened.

Partizan Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Partizan Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baskonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Partizan Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Baskonia - Partizan Belgrade Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Partizan (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Partizan Belgrade will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partizan Belgrade will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Partizan (votes: 31 - 86.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:90

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Sedekerskis T.	22. Parker J.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	12. Brown S.
1. Diakite M.	88. Jones T.
77. Joksimovic S.	9. Marinkovic V.
3. Nowell M.	1. Jones C.
Substitutes
6. Diallo H.	17. Bonga I.
18. Diop K.	8. Bosnjakovic M.
25. Frisch C.	19. Lakic A.
14. Querejeta J.	3. Muurinen M.
99. Samanic L.	5. Osetkowski D.
10. Spagnolo M.	11. Pokusevski A.
4. Villar R.	4. Washington D.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Obradovic Z.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 2.

Baskonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Partizan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Partizan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 496:517. (average 82.7:86.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 275:261. (average 91.7:87).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
15.10.25	Paris - Baskonia	105:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	105:100 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Baskonia - Panathinaikos	84:86 ✺
Spanish ACB League
05.10.25	Basket Zaragoza - Baskonia	107:88 ✺
Euroleague
03.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	102:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL
- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Euroleague
15.10.25	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86 ✺
Adriatic League
11.10.25	KK Split - Partizan Belgrade	81:86 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	93:87 ✺
Adriatic League
06.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - Krka	84:78 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - Olimpia Milano	80:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
28.02.25	Partizan Belgrade - Baskonia	86:73
03.10.24	Baskonia - Partizan Belgrade	88:82
19.03.24	Partizan Belgrade - Baskonia	87:83
03.11.23	Baskonia - Partizan Belgrade	84:83
13.01.23	Partizan Belgrade - Baskonia	83:65
14.10.22	Baskonia - Partizan Belgrade	103:96 OT (89:89)

Upcoming Matches