Match Info

Euroleague - Round 35

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Bissang J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Real Madrid

	1	2
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.05	1.38	Watch
	3.15	1.39
	3.05	1.42	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.92	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.9)	1.38 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
30.8%

Real Madrid
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baskonia's performance.

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Baskonia - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5, OT - Baskonia (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Real Madrid (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 180.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 2 - 25%). Real Madrid (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diakite M.	6. Abalde A.
5. Omoruyi E.	7. Campazzo F.
2. Simmons K.	11. Hezonja M.
10. Spagnolo M.	8. Okeke C.
4. Villar R.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
11. Forrest T.	14. Deck G.
25. Frisch C.	24. Feliz A.
33. Hrabar V.	16. Garuba U.
30. Khatiashvili M.	1. Kramer D.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	23. Llull S.
3. Nowell M.	0. Lyles T.
17. Radzevicius G.	12. Maledon T.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Baskonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1775:1816. (average 88.8:90.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 806:821. (average 89.6:91.2).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
14	Baskonia	3	1	2	263:293
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 75.29%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
01.04.26	Baskonia - Basket Zaragoza	115:88 ✺
29.03.26	BC Andorra - Baskonia	79:88 ✺
Euroleague
27.03.26	Baskonia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	118:109 ✺
25.03.26	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	100:108 OT ✺
Spanish ACB League
22.03.26	Baskonia - Girona	94:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
28.03.26	Girona - Real Madrid	93:95 ✺
Euroleague
26.03.26	Real Madrid - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	82:71 ✺
24.03.26	Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv	92:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
22.03.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	76:95 ✺
Euroleague
20.03.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid	87:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Basketball Cup
22.02.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	89:100
Euroleague
11.12.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	94:87
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	105:100
06.06.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	103:112
03.06.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	82:76
16.03.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	83:78
Euroleague
23.01.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	90:89

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