Match Info

ACB - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavelló Nou Congost (Manresa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Basquet Manresa		Baskonia

	1	2
	2.5	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.84	1.43
	2.71	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.87	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Basquet Manresa
34.6%

Baskonia
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basquet Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquet Manresa than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquet Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baskonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Basquet Manresa - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Manresa will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Baskonia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manresa: 71.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 182.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Basquet Manresa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:94

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Knudsen G.	17. Radzevicius G.
8. Reyes A.	5. Omoruyi E.
0. Akobundu-Ehiogu K.	14. Edwards J.
11. Ubal A.	11. Forrest T.
24. Brooks E.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
6. Bassas F.	1. Diakite M.
46. Bergseng L.	25. Frisch C.
3. Duke Jr. D.	33. Hrabar V.
45. Naspler G.	77. Joksimovic S.
29. Oriola P.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
22. Paulicap P.	2. Simmons K.
12. Steinbergs M.	10. Spagnolo M.
Coaches
. Ocampo D.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 0.

Manresa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baskonia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Manresa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Baskonia has had a series of home games.

Baskonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1574:1746. (average 78.7:87.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 693:707. (average 77:78.6).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Manresa: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Baskonia	2	2	0	216:175	4
18	Manresa	2	0	2	187:208	0

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquet Manresa
Spanish ACB League
28.03.26	CB Breogán - Basquet Manresa	91:78 ✺
21.03.26	Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia	86:90 ✺
15.03.26	Granada - Basquet Manresa	92:79 ✺
Eurocup
11.03.26	Türk Telekom BK - Basquet Manresa	98:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.03.26	Basquet Manresa - Canarias	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
03.04.26	Baskonia - Real Madrid	98:96 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.04.26	Baskonia - Basket Zaragoza	115:88 ✺
29.03.26	BC Andorra - Baskonia	79:88 ✺
Euroleague
27.03.26	Baskonia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	118:109 ✺
25.03.26	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	100:108 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Baskonia - Basquet Manresa	130:85
22.03.25	Baskonia - Basquet Manresa	90:84
29.12.24	Basquet Manresa - Baskonia	80:82
14.01.24	Basquet Manresa - Baskonia	82:90
26.11.23	Baskonia - Basquet Manresa	94:86
09.04.23	Baskonia - Basquet Manresa	107:92
20.11.22	Basquet Manresa - Baskonia	93:80

Upcoming Matches