Match Info

NBB

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Ginasio Panela de Pressao (Bauru)

Referee: Victorino T. L. (Bra)


	Bauru		Brasília Basquete

	1	2
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.53
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.87)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bauru
40.7%

Brasília Basquete
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bauru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bauru's form might have worsened.

Brasília Basquete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brasília Basquete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bauru, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasília Basquete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bauru - Brasília Basquete Predictions

Users Predictions: Bauru will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bauru will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Andrezao	11. Cardoso B.
3. Brite D.	7. Corvalan F.
10. Garcia A.	2. Crescenzi K.
77. Materan J.	9. da Silva P.
6. Silva G.	13. Paulichi R.
Substitutes
0. Eugeniusz M.	77. Beller
16. Godoy G.	15. Carbonari R.
7. Gustavo	30. Daniel
9. Infante P.	10. Santana L.
11. Moreira	14. Silva B.
22. Silva A.
8. Vithinho
Coaches
. Cezar P.	. Barbosa D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 4.

Bauru is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Brasília Basquete has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brasília Basquete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brasília Basquete has had a series of away games.

Brasília Basquete could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Bauru will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1693:1534. (average 84.7:76.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bauru won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 819:782. (average 81.9:78.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
22.12.25	Bauru - Rio Claro	84:68 ✺
20.12.25	Franca - Bauru	85:68 ✺
15.12.25	Pato - Bauru	61:69 ✺
12.12.25	Bauru - Mogi	62:58 ✺
10.12.25	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	94:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
27.12.25	Franca - Brasília Basquete	92:84 ✺
23.12.25	Brasília Basquete - Pato	84:69 ✺
16.12.25	Mogi - Brasília Basquete	57:68 ✺
12.12.25	Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete	79:66 ✺
10.12.25	São José dos Campos - Brasília Basquete	87:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
29.12.24	Brasília Basquete - Bauru	77:67
15.10.24	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	93:91
28.03.24	Brasília Basquete - Bauru	84:103
09.12.23	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	82:73
16.01.23	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	72:70
26.10.22	Brasília Basquete - Bauru	66:86
02.02.22	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	96:74

Bauru - Brasília Basquete: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide