Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Baylor Bears		Arizona State Sun Devils

	1	2
	1.24	3.8
	1.3	3.25
	1.28	3.38	Watch
	1.27	3.7
	1.23	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	3.62 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baylor Bears
74.1%

Arizona State Sun Devils
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baylor Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Arizona State Sun Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona State Sun Devils than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:74

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Preview

Baylor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arizona State has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baylor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baylor is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Baylor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 236:215. (average 59:53.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Baylor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 164:149. (average 82:74.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baylor Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	90:74 ✺
14.02.26	Baylor Bears - Louisville Cardinals	71:82 ✺
10.02.26	Baylor Bears - Brigham Young Cougars	94:99 ✺
07.02.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Baylor Bears	72:69 ✺
04.02.26	Baylor Bears - Colorado Buffaloes	86:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Arizona State Sun Devils basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	Arizona State Sun Devils - Texas Tech Red Raiders	72:67 ✺
10.02.26	Arizona State Sun Devils - Oklahoma State Cowboys	85:76 ✺
07.02.26	Colorado Buffaloes - Arizona State Sun Devils	78:70 ✺
04.02.26	Utah Utes - Arizona State Sun Devils	63:71 ✺
31.01.26	Arizona State Sun Devils - Arizona Wildcats	74:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.01.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Baylor Bears	66:72 OT
24.11.21	Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	75:63
25.11.20	Arizona State Sun Devils - Baylor Bears	Canceled
NIT
22.03.13	Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	89:86

Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide