Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Cadillac Arena (Beijing)


	Beijing Ducks		Guangdong Southern Tigers

	1	2
	1.29	3.35	Watch
	1.37	2.9
	1.37	3.05
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.23)	3.06 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Ducks
69.4%

Guangdong Southern Tigers
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Ducks's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Southern Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Beijing will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:87

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Lineups


1. Chen Ying-Chun	5. Chen Jiazheng
8. Fang Shuo	24. Choi Young-Hee
10. German E.	18. Du Runwang
19. Jianiyou Taruike	3. Hu Mingxuan
0. McGee J.	16. Jiao Boqiao
27. Qi Z.	22. McCall T.
9. Raymond	10. Queen T.
14. Spellman O.	31. Rakocevic N.
31. Williams A.	0. Sullinger J.
7. Zeng F.	28. Wang S.
20. Zhai Xiaochuan	2. Xu Jie
24. Zhao Rui	25. Zhang Haojia
Coaches
. Xu Limin	. Feng Du

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 3.

Beijing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guangdong has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guangdong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Beijing is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1878:1961. (average 93.9:98.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 868:888. (average 96.4:98.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Beijing Ducks - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 76.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Ducks
CBA
09.05.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	102:99 OT ✺
06.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	102:94 ✺
24.04.26	Beijing Ducks - Jilin Northeast Tigers	105:55 ✺
19.04.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Beijing Ducks	76:107 ✺
17.04.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Beijing Ducks	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
09.05.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	102:99 OT ✺
06.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	102:94 ✺
03.05.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	90:80 ✺
01.05.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	64:85 ✺
28.04.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	76:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
09.05.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	102:99 OT
06.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	102:94
27.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	93:96
01.01.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	105:74
12.12.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	106:90
25.10.24	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	105:101
27.03.24	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	92:110

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