Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Bendigo Braves		Mount Gambier Pioneers

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.48
	2.28	1.52
	2.29	1.51	Watch
	2.43	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bendigo Braves
39.1%

Mount Gambier Pioneers
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bendigo Braves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mount Gambier Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendigo Braves than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bendigo Braves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bendigo Braves - Mount Gambier Pioneers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:88

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Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Mount Gambier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mount Gambier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 198:243. (average 66:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Bendigo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 130:178. (average 65:89).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bendigo Braves Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
09.05.26	Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners	78:89 ✺
02.05.26	Hobart Chargers - Bendigo Braves	90:69 ✺
01.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Bendigo Braves	78:70 ✺
26.04.26	Bendigo Braves - Nunawading Spectres	113:97 ✺
18.04.26	Dandenong Rangers - Bendigo Braves	88:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Mount Gambier Pioneers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
08.05.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers	78:82 ✺
02.05.26	Sandringham Sabres - Mount Gambier Pioneers	100:74 ✺
02.05.26	Knox Raiders - Mount Gambier Pioneers	83:72 ✺
25.04.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons	59:86 ✺
17.04.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Ballarat Miners	96:94 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
11.07.25	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Bendigo Braves	65:68
24.05.25	Bendigo Braves - Mount Gambier Pioneers	49:79
04.05.24	Bendigo Braves - Mount Gambier Pioneers	81:99

Bendigo Braves - Mount Gambier Pioneers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide