Match Info

WNBL Women - Round 1

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Energy Arena (Bendigo)


	Bendigo Spirit		Townsville Fire

	1	2
	3.05	1.3
	3.19	1.29
	3.50	1.25	Watch
	3.31	1.31
	2.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.33)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bendigo Spirit
30.2%

Townsville Fire
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bendigo Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bendigo Spirit's form might have worsened.

Townsville Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Townsville Fire's recent form is better than expected.

Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Borlase I.	23. Ellis A.
23. Griffin K. (C)	12. Fowler A.
4. McConnell M.	9. Froling A.
12. Tolo M.	1. Sowah M.
13. Wehrung A.	7. Woods C. (C)
Substitutes
3. Booth G.	15. Cox L.
8. MacGregor C.	16. Crichton D.
0. McDowell-White H.	11. Forster C.
7. Pollerd O.	0. Horvat C.
55. Rees K.	33. Olsen L.
16. Samuels C.
5. Simpson M.
Coaches
. Kereama K.	. Seebohm S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 5.

Townsville could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 961:966. (average 68.6:69).

Including home matches between the teams, Bendigo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 439:485. (average 62.7:69.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bendigo Spirit
Australian WNBL
08.03.25	Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit	55:63 ✺
05.03.25	Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire	70:60 ✺
27.02.25	Sydney Flames - Bendigo Spirit	74:91 ✺
22.02.25	Bendigo Spirit - Sydney Flames	76:67 ✺
14.02.25	Canberra Capitals - Bendigo Spirit	83:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Townsville Fire
Australian WNBL
08.03.25	Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit	55:63 ✺
05.03.25	Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire	70:60 ✺
26.02.25	Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx	106:76 ✺
22.02.25	Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire	87:92 ✺
15.02.25	Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx	86:87 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
08.03.25	Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit	55:63
05.03.25	Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire	70:60
31.12.24	Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit	65:76
14.12.24	Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire	86:80
16.11.24	Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit	76:84
18.02.24	Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit	60:93
06.01.24	Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire	72:86

Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide