Match Info

LPB - Round 18

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)


	Benfica		Ovarense

	1	2
	1.06	6.5	Watch
	1.03	7.16
	1.04	8.1
	1.04	9
	1.03	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.02)	7.85 ↓ (8.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
88.3%

Ovarense
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Benfica - Ovarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broussard Aaron . (C)	2. Jenkins J.
9. Crandall E.	12. Silva J.
11. Dziewa A.	13. Soeiro R.
15. Gomes B.	20. Teixeira G.
3. Yussuf T.	0. Woods A.
Substitutes
21. Andrade J.	5. Heath J.
17. Filipe T.	10. Monteiro M.
0. Francisco E.	9. Morais N. (C)
14. Relvao D.	3. Pavicevic I.
4. Silva J.	24. Sona R.
	55. Stormo J.
	33. Vuaka I.
Coaches
. Alves N.	. Silva J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5.

Benfica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ovarense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1901:1393. (average 95.1:69.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 918:685. (average 91.8:68.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96:83	2
4	Benfica	1	1	0	84:71	2

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.02 are the expected chance of winning is 88.98%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.03.26	Benfica - Braga	104:63 ✺
Portuguese LPB
21.03.26	Porto - Benfica	88:72 ✺
14.03.26	Benfica - CAQ Queluz	106:68 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
08.03.26	Esgueira - Benfica	75:102 ✺
20.02.26	Benfica - Ovarense	110:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWW
- Ovarense Basquetebol
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.03.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Ovarense	75:81 ✺
Portuguese LPB
21.03.26	Ovarense - Vitória de Guimarães	75:91 ✺
14.03.26	Imortal - Ovarense	100:107 OT ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
06.03.26	Ovarense - Oliveirense	68:85 ✺
20.02.26	Benfica - Ovarense	110:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
20.02.26	Benfica - Ovarense	110:75
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Ovarense - Benfica	70:96
Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.25	Ovarense - Benfica	67:103
Portuguese LPB
29.05.25	Ovarense - Benfica	80:89
24.05.25	Benfica - Ovarense	103:71
22.05.25	Benfica - Ovarense	85:66
29.03.25	Benfica - Ovarense	93:59

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