Match Info

LFB Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)


	Benfica		Quinta Dos Lombos

	1	2
	1.73	1.92
	2.02	1.68
	1.61	2.13	Watch
	1.67	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.65)	1.92 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
52.1%

Quinta Dos Lombos
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Quinta Dos Lombos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinta Dos Lombos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bettencourt M.	21. Hardy N.
8. De Oliveira	3. Ivanovic M.
15. Josefino	10. Pinto C.
17. Nunn S.	12. Roseiro M.
11. Soeiro J.	1. Sumbane C.
Substitutes
4. Afonso A.	8. Caetano S. (C)
23. Balde F.	5. Polici B.
1. Faustino I.	0. Powell J.
5. Goncalves M. (C)	35. Rivera A.
6. Martins M.	24. Semedo D.
14. Puc Z.	26. Silva C.
0. Rodrigues S.	4. Silva L.
Coaches
. Rodrigues E.	. Leite J.

Preview

Benfica Lisboa leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.

Benfica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cascais has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1310:1247. (average 65.5:62.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 668:634. (average 66.8:63.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Benfica W	2	2	0	172:113	4
6	Quinta Dos Lombos W	1	1	0	79:65	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball Women
Portuguese LFB
08.05.26	Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos	73:69 OT ✺
03.05.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	80:64 ✺
02.05.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	65:68 ✺
25.04.26	Benfica - Barcelos	74:70 ✺
19.04.26	Barcelos - Benfica	59:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- Quinta Dos Lombos Cascais
Portuguese LFB
08.05.26	Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos	73:69 OT ✺
03.05.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	80:64 ✺
02.05.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	65:68 ✺
25.04.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - GDESSA Barreiro	80:72 ✺
18.04.26	GDESSA Barreiro - Quinta Dos Lombos	53:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
08.05.26	Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos	73:69 OT
03.05.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	80:64
02.05.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	65:68
04.01.26	Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos	50:49
19.10.25	Quinta Dos Lombos - Benfica	63:55
Portuguese Super Cup Basketball Women
27.09.25	Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos	55:67
Portuguese LFB
26.04.25	Benfica - Quinta Dos Lombos	67:62

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