Match Info

ACB - Round 31

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Bilbao Arena (Bilbao)

Referee: Sanchez D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Greece	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	DAZN 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Bilbao Basket		Real Madrid

	1	2
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.76
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (3.5)	1.63 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilbao Basket
42.3%

Real Madrid
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bilbao Basket's performance.

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Bilbao Basket - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bilbao will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Frey H.	13. Almansa Perez I.
11. Hilliard D.	7. Campazzo F.
32. Hlinason T.	23. Llull S.
2. Normantas M.	0. Lyles T.
18. Petrasek L.	9. Procida G.
Substitutes
13. Bagayoko B.	6. Abalde A.
22. Font A.	17. Amosov E.
7. Jaworski J.	14. Deck G.
10. Krampelj M.	24. Feliz A.
73. Lazarevic S.	33. Grinvalds G.
19. Pantzar M. J.	1. Kramer D.
20. Sylla A.	12. Maledon T.
Coaches
. Ponsarnau J.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bilbao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1534:1746. (average 76.7:87.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bilbao won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 825:836. (average 82.5:83.6).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Real Madrid: 51.18% Bilbao: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	203:194	4
6	Bilbao	2	1	1	208:196	2

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 73.38%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
10.05.26	Força Lleida CE - Bilbao Basket	90:81 ✺
03.05.26	Bilbao Basket - Granada	88:83 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.04.26	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	89:74 ✺
22.04.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	79:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Basquet Manresa	80:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
10.05.26	Real Madrid - CB Breogán	97:101 ✺
Euroleague
07.05.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	78:87 ✺
05.05.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	76:69 ✺
Spanish ACB League
03.05.26	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	131:123 OT ✺
Euroleague
01.05.26	Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv	102:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Real Madrid - Bilbao Basket	82:70
30.03.25	Real Madrid - Bilbao Basket	88:70
13.10.24	Bilbao Basket - Real Madrid	83:79
21.01.24	Real Madrid - Bilbao Basket	95:80
12.11.23	Bilbao Basket - Real Madrid	84:87
Club Friendly Basketball
02.09.23	Bilbao Basket - Real Madrid	85:81
Spanish ACB League
12.03.23	Real Madrid - Bilbao Basket	86:65

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