Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Bowling Green Falcons		Toledo Rockets

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.6
	1.6	2.4
	1.56	2.29	Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.51	2.5
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)	2.45 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bowling Green Falcons
61.5%

Toledo Rockets
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Toledo Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toledo Rockets than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bowling Green won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bowling Green might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bowling Green won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 1440:1599. (average 72:80).

Including home matches between the teams, Bowling Green won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 711:760. (average 71.1:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bowling Green Falcons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Northern Illinois Huskies - Bowling Green Falcons	52:68 ✺
07.02.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Bowling Green Falcons	91:54 ✺
03.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Ball State Cardinals	77:52 ✺
31.01.26	Central Michigan Chippewas - Bowling Green Falcons	62:59 ✺
27.01.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Buffalo Bulls	78:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Toledo Rockets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Western Michigan Broncos - Toledo Rockets	79:90 ✺
07.02.26	James Madison Dukes - Toledo Rockets	73:71 ✺
03.02.26	Toledo Rockets - Kent State Golden Flashes	72:75 ✺
31.01.26	Toledo Rockets - Ball State Cardinals	73:55 ✺
27.01.26	Akron Zips - Toledo Rockets	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons	73:72
21.02.25	Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons	68:69
24.01.25	Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets	71:84
23.02.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets	76:68
27.01.24	Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons	88:72
18.02.23	Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets	86:91
28.01.23	Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons	91:77

Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide