Match Info

LPB - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Sports Pavilion Lamacaes (Braga)


	Braga		Ovarense

	1	2
	2.25	1.53	Watch
	1.93	1.76
	2	1.7
	1.83	1.85
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga
46.3%

Ovarense
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ovarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Braga - Ovarense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bingham II J.	5. Heath J.
2. Blaylock D.	2. Jenkins J.
6. Cardoso C.	3. Pavicevic I.
11. Monteiro R.	13. Soeiro R.
10. Robinson B.	0. Woods A.
Substitutes
25. Alves S.	15. Finke T.
21. Dimanochie S.	10. Monteiro M.
5. Moreira A.	9. Morais N. (C)
1. Peixoto M.	12. Silva J.
18. Samuco E. (C)	24. Sona R.
7. Santis S.	20. Teixeira G.
8. Santos T.	33. Vuaka I.
Coaches
. Grenha P.	. Silva J.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ovarense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ovarense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 153:153. (average 76.5:76.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96:83	2
9	Braga	1	0	1	83:96	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga Basketball
Portuguese LPB
03.01.26	Porto - Braga	98:79 ✺
28.12.25	Braga - Benfica	63:87 ✺
20.12.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Braga	82:72 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
12.12.25	Benfica - Braga	81:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Braga - Imortal	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 LLLWW
- Ovarense Basquetebol
Portuguese LPB
06.01.26	Porto - Ovarense	74:62 ✺
03.01.26	Ovarense - Galitos Barreiro	88:64 ✺
27.12.25	CAQ Queluz - Ovarense	82:84 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
14.12.25	Povoa - Ovarense	67:68 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Ovarense - Benfica	70:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Ovarense - Braga	78:84 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Ovarense - Braga	75:69

Upcoming Matches