Match Info
NBL - Round 3Date: 4 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: Brisbane Entertainment Centre (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN |
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Brisbane Bullets |
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Tasmania JackJumpers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.5 |
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1.3 |
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 |
3.35 |
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1.28 |
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 |
3.18 |
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1.35 |
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 |
2.88 |
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1.39 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
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1.39 |
Watch |
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2.95 |
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1.39 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(1.82) |
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1.35 ↓
(1.99) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 173.75
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Bullets
29.9% | Tasmania JackJumpers
70.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Bullets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Bullets's form might have worsened.Tasmania JackJumpers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tasmania JackJumpers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Bullets than the current prediction. (+22.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Bullets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tasmania JackJumpers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Bullets (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5, OT - Tasmania (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 173.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Bullets (votes: 1 - 50%). Tasmania (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:91 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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2.  Adams J.
| 33.  Bannan J.
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4. Ducas A.
| 12. Campbell T.
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24.  Harrison T. (C)
| 3. Drmic A.
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0. Murray T.
| 0. Hamilton B.
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18. Smith-Milner T.
| 22. Magnay W. (C)
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| Substitutes |
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50. Bradtke J.
| 10. Ayre B.
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9. Dalton C.
| 11. Marshall N.
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6. Devers T.
| 14. Richards J.
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35. Dufelmeier T.
| 6. Starks T.
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13. Patterson L.
| 4. Stoddart N.
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12. Purchase J.
| 96. Williamson K.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Bullets won 2.In recent matches, Brisbane Bullets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Tasmania is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Brisbane Bullets has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Bullets won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1095:1115. (average 84.2:85.8).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Bullets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 509:517. (average 84.8:86.2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 28.12.24 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets | 95:86 | | 15.11.24 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets | 95:92 | | 26.10.24 | Brisbane Bullets - Tasmania JackJumpers | 79:84 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 07.09.24 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets | 76:89 | | Australian NBL | | | 10.01.24 | Brisbane Bullets - Tasmania JackJumpers | 80:77 | | 04.11.23 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets | 87:85 | | 29.10.23 | Brisbane Bullets - Tasmania JackJumpers | 90:87 |
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