The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tasmania JackJumpers 66.8%
New Zealand Breakers 33.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.5%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.5%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tasmania JackJumpers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tasmania JackJumpers's performance.
New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Breakers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:89
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Armstrong T.
8. Bediako C.
33. Bannan J.
0. Davison C.
22. Magnay W.
9. King M.
11. Marshall N.
3. Mennenga S.
31. Mathias D.
34. Vasiljevic D.
Substitutes
14. Bayles B.
4. Cooper T.
12. Gold B.
2. Le'Afa I.
0. Hamilton B.
12. Noi K.
8. Haywood R.
13. Rissetto A.
7. Johnson D.
21. Robinson K.
4. Richardson J.
7. Te Rangi R.
6. Stattmann K.
. Weidemann N.
9. Stoddart N.
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Semi - finals and 4th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
NZ Breakers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, NZ Breakers has had a run of games away from home.
Tasmania is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tasmania has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1690:1726 (averaging 84.5:86.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tasmania against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 880:851 goals (averaging 88:85.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
1
Tasmania JackJumpers
8
6
2
790:748
0.750
4
New Zealand Breakers
8
4
4
737:712
0.500
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
Tasmania JackJumpers: 11.38% New Zealand Breakers: 4.11%
Australia
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Armstrong T. 
Bediako C. 
Davison C. 
Mathias D. 
Noi K. 
Weidemann N. 
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