Match Info

NBL - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: MyState Bank Arena (Hobart)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Tasmania JackJumpers		Melbourne United

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.40
	3.00	1.38
	3.25	1.35
	2.9	1.39	Watch
	3.20	1.33
	2.92	1.43	Watch
	3.30	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.4)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasmania JackJumpers
31%

Melbourne United
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tasmania JackJumpers's form might have worsened.

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne United's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Tasmania will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armstrong T.	3. Anthony C.
33. Bannan J.	9. Machar M.
22. Magnay W.	2. Oduro J.
11. Marshall N.	23. Travers L.
31. Mathias D.	21. Waardenburg S.
Substitutes
14. Bayles B.	15. Bowen K.
12. Gold B.	11. D'Angelo C.
8. Haywood R.	24. Hynes W.
7. Johnson D.	7. Ingles J.
4. Richardson J.	18. Krslovic F.
6. Stattmann K.	5. Shelley A.
9. Stoddart N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 2.

Tasmania could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Melbourne is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tasmania has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1701:1667 (averaging 85.1:83.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tasmania against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 859:809 goals (averaging 85.9:80.9 per game).

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Melbourne United: 24.79% Tasmania JackJumpers: 11.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	5	4	1	498:477	0.800
6	Melbourne United	5	2	3	454:440	0.400

Last Results with these Odds

Tasmania JackJumpers - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Melbourne United - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasmania JackJumpers
Australian NBL
23.09.26	Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers	93:87 ✺
21.09.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	96:91 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Sydney Kings	98:98
06.09.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers	86:96
Australian NBL
05.03.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLL
- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
24.09.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United	61:86 ✺
19.09.26	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	95:97 ✺
07.03.26	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	95:77 ✺
05.03.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:68 ✺
19.02.26	Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix	95:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
05.03.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:68
17.01.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	79:77
03.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:75
23.12.25	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	73:92
18.09.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:88
01.02.25	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	94:92
23.12.24	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	91:97

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