Match Info

BBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Brose Arena (Bamberg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Brose Bamberg		ALBA Berlin

	1	2
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.74	2.00
	1.83	2.01
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2.10
	1.80	2.05	Watch
	1.79	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brose Bamberg
53.6%

ALBA Berlin
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brose Bamberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ALBA Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brose Bamberg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brose Bamberg will win (votes: 6 - 60%). ALBA will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brose Bamberg: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 172.5, OT - under (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Watson-Boye I.	6. Delow M.
8. Demonia D.	34. Bean J.
7. Doentgens F.	17. Agbakoko N.
11. Balint R.	9. Mattisseck J.
24. Williams C.	15. Hermannsson M.
Substitutes
85. Crowley A.	5. Griesel S.
1. Ensminger Z.	33. Hundt B.
55. Hollerl N.	7. Kayil J.
31. Keppeler D.	21. Rataj M.
27. Krimmer M.	13. Roberts J.
35. Onu E.	25. Schmitt R.
15. Petkovic A.	11. Wood M.
Coaches
. Gavel A.	. Calles P.

Preview

Alba Berlin leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brose Bamberg won 2.

Brose Bamberg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ALBA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

ALBA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brose Bamberg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1602:1757. (average 80.1:87.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brose Bamberg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 826:830. (average 82.6:83).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Alba Berlin: 14.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Alba Berlin	5	2	3	402:453	4
14	Bamberg	5	2	3	448:446	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brose Bamberg
German BBL
04.06.26	Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin	81:73 ✺
01.06.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	85:71 ✺
30.05.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	105:86 ✺
23.05.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Brose Bamberg	87:96 ✺
18.05.26	Brose Bamberg - Ratiopharm Ulm	90:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- ALBA Berlin
German BBL
04.06.26	Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin	81:73 ✺
01.06.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	85:71 ✺
30.05.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	105:86 ✺
27.05.26	ALBA Berlin - Rasta Vechta	98:89 ✺
24.05.26	Rasta Vechta - ALBA Berlin	79:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
04.06.26	Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin	81:73
01.06.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	85:71
30.05.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	105:86
German Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin	74:72
German BBL
15.02.26	Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin	92:98
25.01.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	87:82 OT
03.03.25	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	86:77

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