Match Info

BNXT League - Round 11

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek (Brussels)


	Brussels		Leiden

	1	2
	1.65	2.03	Watch
	1.69	2.08
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.7	2.01
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brussels
54.8%

Leiden
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brussels than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Brussels - Leiden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ambrose J.	17. Kruithof L.
0. Finch J.	0. Mc Collum J.
10. Hazard L.	28. Roberts N.
17. Horton D.	5. Scott-Grayson T.
24. Tshimanga G.	12. Sicking J.
Substitutes
5. Libert A. (C)	13. Huurman S.
3. Onyeka J. A.	2. Maconda D.
6. Overton J.	1. Savior M.
22. Schrevens A.	10. Schaftenaar R. (C)
19. Swolfs G.	9. van den Elzen S.
1. Van Eyck E.	11. Van Zeil L.
7. Vuko T.
Coaches
. Crevecoeur S.	. Spradley R. D.

Preview

Brussels is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Leiden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brussels won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 151:116. (average 75.5:58).

Including home match between the teams, Brussels won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 80:50.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brussels Basketball
BNXT League
07.12.25	Brussels - Donar Groningen	91:76 ✺
22.11.25	Den Helder Suns - Brussels	80:83 ✺
ENBL
18.11.25	Brussels - Keila Basket	95:70 ✺
BNXT League
14.11.25	Brussels - Spirou Charleroi	88:69 ✺
08.11.25	Leuven Bears - Brussels	83:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
06.12.25	Leiden - Belfius Mons-Hainaut	107:89 ✺
21.11.25	Kortrijk Spurs - Leiden	82:76 ✺
15.11.25	Leiden - Oostende	98:90 ✺
08.11.25	Leiden - Donar Groningen	101:72 ✺
01.11.25	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	108:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
10.05.25	Brussels - Leiden	80:50
21.12.24	Leiden - Brussels	66:71

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