Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 9

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Burgos		Ourense

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.19	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
61.4%

Ourense
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Burgos - Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Alonso A.	22. Kalscheur G.
21. Gil G.	28. Lisboa R.
5. Jackson M.	24. McDonnel S.
8. Terins F.	9. Okanu K.
13. Vila R.	3. Smith K.
Substitutes
33. Alonso A.	11. Fernandez M.
31. Brown-Ferguson J.	35. Gill R.
24. Huelves A.	12. Huguet S.
55. Jofresa G.	27. Iglesias M.
10. Parrado A.	41. Jurgens C.
35. Seoane R.	23. Saraiva D.
25. Zidek J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Burgos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 782:797. (average 78.2:79.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 408:413. (average 81.6:82.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Burgos
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
19.11.25	Básquet Coruña - Burgos	83:95 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
15.11.25	Estela - Burgos	81:89 ✺
08.11.25	Obradoiro CAB - Burgos	93:68 ✺
31.10.25	Burgos - Gipuzkoa Basket	81:73 ✺
25.10.25	Burgos - Básquet Coruña	82:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWL
- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.11.25	Fibwi Palma - Ourense	83:76 ✺
08.11.25	Ourense - Cartagena	91:65 ✺
01.11.25	Ourense - Menorca	84:80 ✺
25.10.25	Estela - Ourense	87:65 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
21.10.25	Ourense - Cartagena	90:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
02.03.25	Burgos - Ourense	83:84
01.12.24	Ourense - Burgos	86:87
03.03.24	Burgos - Ourense	85:80
28.11.23	Ourense - Burgos	72:79
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
09.03.22	Ourense - Burgos	76:71
04.12.21	Burgos - Ourense	80:74 OT (66:66)
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
30.01.21	Ourense - Burgos	89:70

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