Match Info

Super Lig - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)


	Bursaspor		Tofaş

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.18	1.25
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.07	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.63)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
29.7%

Tofaş
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bursaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tofaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bursaspor - Tofaş Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Childress B.	25. Besson H.
94. Georges-Hunt M.	22. Blazevic M.
19. Gultekin Y.	11. Kabaca E.
34. Konontsuk A.	30. Korkmaz F.
35. Nnoko L.	2. Perez-Kaufmann A.
Substitutes
3. Akdamar T. (C)	10. Basaran Y. C.
11. Akin B.	1. Cengiz O.
12. DeLaurier J.	0. Floyd J.
22. King V. E.	8. Gecim T. (C)
14. Onar Y.	15. Kidd L.
10. Satir B.	6. Postel E.
21. Smith M.	24. Serbest E.
Coaches
. Karademir E.	. Yilmaz M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bursaspor won 1.

Bursaspor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tofaş's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bursaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tofaş is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bursaspor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1049:1128. (average 80.7:86.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bursaspor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 514:501. (average 85.7:83.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Tofas	3	1	2	256:277	4
16	Bursaspor	2	0	2	145:160	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tofaş - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.26%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
07.03.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Bursaspor	100:61 ✺
14.02.26	Bursaspor - Beşiktaş	61:88 ✺
08.02.26	Körfez - Bursaspor	94:76 ✺
02.02.26	Bursaspor - Trabzonspor	75:83 ✺
25.01.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Bursaspor	95:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tofas S.K.
Champions League Basketball
11.03.26	AEK Athens - Tofaş	96:88 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.03.26	Tofaş - Esenler Erokspor	81:91 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball
18.02.26	Tofaş - Beşiktaş	91:100 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
14.02.26	Büyükçekmece - Tofaş	81:91 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.02.26	ALBA Berlin - Tofaş	69:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.11.25	Tofaş - Bursaspor	84:70
08.03.25	Bursaspor - Tofaş	98:93
03.11.24	Tofaş - Bursaspor	94:71
29.03.24	Bursaspor - Tofaş	89:95
03.12.23	Tofaş - Bursaspor	91:85
12.05.23	Bursaspor - Tofaş	77:92
07.01.23	Tofaş - Bursaspor	82:83

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