Match Info

ACB - Round 8

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)

Referee: Martinez Silla V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	DAZN Espana


	CB Breogán		San Pablo Burgos

	1	2
	1.5	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.41	2.67	Watch
	1.54	2.56	Watch
	1.38	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Breogán
64.8%

San Pablo Burgos
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Breogán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Breogán will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Breogán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brankovic D.	11. Diez D.
1. Cook K.	40. Fischer L.
0. Dibba B.	56. Jackson J.
47. Kurucs A.	23. Meindl L.
4. Russell D.	19. Neto R.
Substitutes
10. Alonso F.	8. Almazan P.
8. Apic D.	10. Corbalan G.
17. Aranitovic A.	22. de Sousa S.
19. Mavra D.	6. Gudmundsson J.
23. Quintela E.	3. Nzosa Y.
18. Sakho J.	7. Rubio J.
	00. Samuels J.
Coaches
. Casimiro L.	. Savignani B.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 3.

In recent matches, Breogán has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SP Burgos is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Breogán could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Breogán will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 996:1018. (average 83:84.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Breogán won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 587:611. (average 83.9:87.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	83:96 ✺
08.11.25	CB Breogán - Gran Canaria 2014	81:92 ✺
01.11.25	CB Breogán - Granada	95:74 ✺
25.10.25	Barcelona - CB Breogán	100:85 ✺
18.10.25	Basket Zaragoza - CB Breogán	84:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWLW
- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
15.11.25	San Pablo Burgos - BC Andorra	86:93 ✺
08.11.25	Canarias - San Pablo Burgos	101:97 ✺
02.11.25	Valencia - San Pablo Burgos	100:82 ✺
25.10.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	89:102 ✺
19.10.25	Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos	90:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
28.09.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	94:87
Spanish ACB League
03.04.22	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	105:96
23.09.21	San Pablo Burgos - CB Breogán	62:87
26.05.19	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	76:95
20.10.18	San Pablo Burgos - CB Breogán	92:76
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
26.05.17	San Pablo Burgos - CB Breogán	92:81
21.05.17	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	79:88 OT (75:75)

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