Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday


	Cal Poly Mustangs		Montana State Bobcats

	1	2
	2.35	1.63
	2.25	1.58
	2.34	1.63
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.14	1.64
	2.35	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.85)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
41.6%

Montana State Bobcats
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cal Poly Mustangs's form might have worsened.

Montana State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montana State Bobcats's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cal Poly Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montana State Bobcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Montana State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Montana State has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	84:88 ✺
04.12.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	91:94 ✺
25.11.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	68:84 ✺
24.11.25	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Cal Poly Mustangs	93:87 ✺
20.11.25	Utah Utes - Cal Poly Mustangs	85:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLLW
- Montana State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.12.25	Oregon State Beavers - Montana State Bobcats	67:57 ✺
06.12.25	Oral Roberts Golden Eagles - Montana State Bobcats	72:68 ✺
03.12.25	Montana State Bobcats - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	82:74 ✺
29.11.25	Utah State Aggies - Montana State Bobcats	84:81 OT ✺
21.11.25	Long Beach State 49ers - Montana State Bobcats	72:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide