Match Info

World Cup Women - Qualification - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 5


	Canada W		Japan W

	1	2
	1.34	2.85
	1.34	3.22
	1.4	2.87	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.36	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.1)	3.03 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada W
69.1%

Japan W
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canada W's form might have worsened.

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan W's recent form is better than expected.

Canada W - Japan W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5, OT - Japan (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 140.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:67

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Alexander K. (C) Valencia	31. Hirashita A. Toyota Antelopes
6. Carleton B. USK Prague	8. Takada M.
2. Colley S. Zabiny Brno	26. Tanaka K.
24. Edwards A. Connecticut Sun	75. Todo N.
5. Nurse K. Chicago Sky	10. Tokashiki R.
Substitutes
7. Becker N. TTT Riga	14. Asahina A.
25. Dut F.	2. Konno N.
9. Ejim Y. IDK Gipuzkoa	13. Machida R. Fujitsu
4. Hill S. Kutxabank Araski	3. Mawuli S. Casademont Zaragoza
1. Pellington S. Nika Siktivkar	52. Miyazawa Yuki (C) Fujitsu
13. Russell M. Louisville	37. Yabu M.
8. Wallack T. Sopron	23. Yamamoto M.
Coaches
. Fortner N.	. Gaines C.

Preview

In this match, Canada is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 362:352. (average 72.4:70.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
14.03.26	Argentina W - Canada W	41:75 ✺
12.03.26	Hungary W - Canada W	53:75 ✺
11.03.26	Canada W - Turkey W	69:71 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball Women
06.07.25	Argentina W - Canada W	75:76 OT ✺
05.07.25	USA W - Canada W	65:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL
- Japan W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
14.03.26	Japan W - Turkey W	67:75 ✺
12.03.26	Australia W - Japan W	81:71 ✺
11.03.26	Japan W - Hungary W	65:77 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball Women
20.07.25	Australia W - Japan W	88:79 ✺
19.07.25	China W - Japan W	81:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball Women
11.02.24	Canada W - Japan W	82:86
World Cup Basketball Women
25.09.22	Japan W - Canada W	56:70
10.02.22	Japan W - Canada W	86:79
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
09.02.20	Canada W - Japan W	70:68
Friendly International Basketball Women
27.05.17	Canada W - Japan W	61:56

Canada W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide